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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 42.8% ( | 26.97% | 30.23% |
| Both teams to score 49.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.6% ( | 55.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.4% ( | 76.6% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( | 25.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% | 60.52% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( | 33.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% | 69.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.23% |