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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Lincoln
2 - 0
Cheltenham

House (42', 79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCheltenham Town
42.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)26.97%30.23%
Both teams to score 49.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)55.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)76.6%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48%60.52%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06%69.94% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 42.79%
    Cheltenham Town 30.23%
    Draw 26.96%
Lincoln CityDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.79%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Cheltenham

Lincoln City
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Cheltenham Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Lincoln
3-0
Cheltenham
Whittaker (4', 19'), Scully (17')

Ramsey (8'), Freestone (57'), May (81')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Lincoln
May (17'), Blair (90+5')
Long (59'), Raglan (69'), May (71'), Williams (90+3'), Pollock (90+6')
Bishop (69', 90+1')
Bridcutt (65'), McGrandles (75')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Sep 29, 2018 3pm