League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Lincoln2 - 0Cheltenham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Cheltenham Town
With both teams almost completely safe from any lingering fears of relegation, we expect this to be a slightly more entertaining match than the goalless stalemate played out in Gloucestershire last month. However, both managers are keen to build on a strong defence, hence why these sides have averaged scoring fewer than one goal per game across the course of the game. We can envisage a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
42.8% ( 0) | 26.97% | 30.23% |
| Both teams to score 49.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
