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Championship header 2

League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Exeter

Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Taylor (35'), Bonds (41'), Southwood (61'), Ferry (65'), Broom (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Key (69')
Aimson (90+3'), Key (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Exeter City

 Both sides are unbeaten in their last three league outings, so we can see this one being a closely-fought contest. However, the Grecians have only picked up one point from their last three road trips, so we think the home side will edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
35.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 37.78% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.048000000000002 0.05)53.66% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.16% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.97% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)64.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (0.043000000000006 0.04)27.55% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (0.057000000000002 0.06)63.07% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 35.4%
    Exeter City 37.77%
    Draw 26.81%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.77%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
 Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham

Taylor (81')
Williams (90+1')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
5-3
Exeter
Sercombe (7', 45+3' pen.), May (13'), Williams (77'), Boyle (90+1')
Blair (40'), May (47')
Collins (4'), Jay (56'), Law (88')
Sweeney (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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