League One

League One | Gameweek 37

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Exeter

Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Key (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Exeter City
35.4% ( -0.02)	26.82% ( -0.01)	37.78% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.46% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.33% (

0.05)

53.66% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.84% (

0.04)

75.16% (

-0.04)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03% (

0.01)

28.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14% (

0.01)

64.86% (

-0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

0.04)

27.55% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.93% (

0.06)

63.07% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 35.4%

Exeter City 37.77%

Draw 26.81%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.4%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.77%