League One Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Aidan Keena 17' goal
  • Caleb Taylor 74' goal
  • Alfie May 79' goal
  • goal Josh Key 69'

Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
Peterborough 0 - 3 Cheltenham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Alfie May

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
Exeter 2 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result

Cheltenham Town 35.4% (-0.03)
Draw 26.82% (-0.02)
Exeter City 37.78% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.33% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 53.66% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 24.84% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.16% (-0.05)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.03% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.97% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.14% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.86% (-0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 72.44% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.55% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 36.93% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 63.07% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 35.4%
Draw 26.81%
Exeter City 37.77%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.81%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 37.77%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Dan N'Lundulu 56'
  • yellowcard Sean Long 77'
  • yellowcard Luke Southwood 79'
  • yellowcard Ben Williams 80'
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 90'+3'
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
0
7
HT : 0 5
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • George Lloyd 38' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 63' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nombe 23'
  • goal Archie Collins 26'
  • goal Matt Jay 28'
  • goal Sam Nombe 35'
  • goal Jack Sparkes 45'+1'
  • goal Harry Kite 50'
  • goal Josh Coley 84'
EFL Trophy
Oct 5, 2021 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
ET
  • Ellis Chapman 37' goal
  • Felix Miles 70' goal
  • goal Colin Daniel 8'
  • goal Archie Collins 38'
League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Jake Taylor 81' yellowcard
  • goal Andrew Williams 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
5
3
HT : 3 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Liam Sercombe 7' goal
  • Alfie May 13' goal
  • Matt Blair 40' yellowcard
  • Alfie May 47' yellowcard
  • Liam Sercombe 45'+3' goal
  • Andrew Williams 77' goal
  • Will Boyle 90'+1' goal
  • goal Archie Collins 4'
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 45'+3'
  • goal Matt Jay 56'
  • goal Nicky Law 88'
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 4, 2020 3.00pm
Jonny-Rocks Stadium