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Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Lincoln City

Exeter
2 - 1
Lincoln

Nombe (33', 73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Connor (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
43.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)29.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.47%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.73% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.0039999999999978 0)70.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.11%
    Lincoln City 29.88%
    Draw 27%
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Exeter vs Lincoln

Exeter City
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Lincoln City
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Exeter
0-3
Lincoln

Stockley (13'), Taylor (22'), Martin (45'), Martin (74'), Boateng (90')
Frecklington (43'), Akinde (45'), Brown (56' og.)
Andrade (23')
May 17, 2018 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Exeter
3-1
Lincoln
Stockley (27'), Boateng (47'), Harley (69')
Stockley (89'), Moxey (90')
Green (78')
Eardley (18'), Bostwick (83')
> Match Report
May 12, 2018 3pm
Semi-Finals
Lincoln
0-0
Exeter

Palmer (90')
> Match Report