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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 35.26% | 27.31% | 37.43% |
| Both teams to score 49.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.37% | 55.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.21% | 76.79% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% | 30.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.85% | 66.15% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% | 28.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% | 64.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.43% |