League One

League One | Gameweek 37

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 2
Fleetwood

FT(HT: 0-2)

Wildsmith (11' og.), Mendes Gomes (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 77.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 7.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.84%) and 3-0 (11.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Fleetwood Town
77.36% ( 0)	15.46% ( -0)	7.18% ( 0)

Both teams to score 38.85% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45% (

0.03)

44.54% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09% (

0.03)

66.91% (

-0.03)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.37% (

0.01)

9.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.83% (

0.02)

32.17% (

-0.02)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.99% (

0.03)

57.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.95% (

0.02)

89.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Derby County 77.34%

Fleetwood Town 7.18%

Draw 15.46%

Derby County	Draw	Fleetwood Town
2-0 @ 15.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 77.34%	1-1 @ 7.22% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.46%	0-1 @ 3.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 7.18%