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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
LNER Stadium
Peterborough United

Lincoln
0 - 3
Peterborough


Kennedy (0'), Mandroiu (22'), O'Connor (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke-Harris (28'), Taylor (67'), Ward (83')
Ferguson (23'), Burrows (52'), Norburn (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-3 Peterborough United

 It is crunch time for Peterborough in their push for the playoff places, and we back them to secure a victory on Saturday, given that Lincoln have very little to play for at this point. The Posh have been in fine form in front of goal in recent weeks, and it will be no surprise if Clarke-Harris is again on the scoresheet, in a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
29.67% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 27.29%43.04% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)77.73% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)34.48% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.023 -0.02)71.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)26.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 29.67%
    Peterborough United 43.04%
    Draw 27.28%
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.01% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.04%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Peterborough

Lincoln City
26.3%
Draw
15.8%
Peterborough United
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Peterborough
4-0
Lincoln
Marriott (21', 50'), Clarke-Harris (29' pen., 43')
Kent (35')

O'Connor (28'), Garrick (40')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Peterborough
3-3
Lincoln
Dembele (65'), Clarke-Harris (75', 90' pen.)
Taylor (55'), Clarke-Harris (90')
Scully (31', 53'), Grant (45' pen.)
Bridcutt (56'), Montsma (90'), McGrandles (90'), Grant (90')
Jan 9, 2021 12.30pm
Lincoln
1-1
Peterborough
Scully (49')
Jackson (16'), Bridcutt (21'), Eyoma (80'), Jones (90+1')
Eyoma (10' og.)
Thompson (23'), Brown (63'), Kent (89')
Thompson (67')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
2-1
Peterborough
Walker (67'), Grant (90')
Hesketh (61'), Morrell (71'), Bolger (80'), Payne (95')
Toney (28')
Mason (37'), Boyd (45'), Woodyard (55'), Butler (96')
Dembele (71')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Peterborough
2-0
Lincoln
Reed (82'), Toney (88')
Mason (62'), Reed (72')
Reed (90')

O'Connor (45'), Pett (74'), Shackell (79')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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