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Championship header 2

League One

Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
LNER Stadium
Peterborough United

Lincoln
0 - 3
Peterborough

FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke-Harris (28'), Taylor (67'), Ward (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
29.67% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)27.29%43.04% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)77.73% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)34.48% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.023 -0.02)71.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)26.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 29.67%
    Peterborough United 43.04%
    Draw 27.28%
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.01% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.04%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Peterborough

Lincoln City
26.3%
Draw
15.8%
Peterborough United
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Peterborough
4-0
Lincoln
Marriott (21', 50'), Clarke-Harris (29' pen., 43')
Kent (35')

O'Connor (28'), Garrick (40')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Peterborough
3-3
Lincoln
Dembele (65'), Clarke-Harris (75', 90' pen.)
Taylor (55'), Clarke-Harris (90')
Scully (31', 53'), Grant (45' pen.)
Bridcutt (56'), Montsma (90'), McGrandles (90'), Grant (90')
Jan 9, 2021 12.30pm
Lincoln
1-1
Peterborough
Scully (49')
Jackson (16'), Bridcutt (21'), Eyoma (80'), Jones (90+1')
Eyoma (10' og.)
Thompson (23'), Brown (63'), Kent (89')
Thompson (67')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
2-1
Peterborough
Walker (67'), Grant (90')
Hesketh (61'), Morrell (71'), Bolger (80'), Payne (95')
Toney (28')
Mason (37'), Boyd (45'), Woodyard (55'), Butler (96')
Dembele (71')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Peterborough
2-0
Lincoln
Reed (82'), Toney (88')
Mason (62'), Reed (72')
Reed (90')

O'Connor (45'), Pett (74'), Shackell (79')
rhs 2.0


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