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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 43.74% ( | 25.84% ( | 30.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% ( | 50.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% ( | 72.71% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( | 23.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% ( | 57% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% ( | 30.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.9% ( | 67.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.73% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.42% |