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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
41.61% ( -2.61) | 24.97% ( 0.45) | 33.42% ( 2.16) |
Both teams to score 57.25% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( -1.29) | 46.07% ( 1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( -1.24) | 68.37% ( 1.24) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( -1.74) | 22.1% ( 1.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -2.7) | 55.47% ( 2.71) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% ( 0.72) | 26.51% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.29% ( 0.95) | 61.71% ( -0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.61% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |