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Championship header 2

League One

Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Exeter City

Fleetwood
2 - 2
Exeter

Marriott (18', 35')
FT(HT: 2-1)
McDonald (28'), Sweeney (90+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawExeter City
35.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.57% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)37.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)74.3% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.018000000000001 0.02)27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.022999999999996 0.02)62.35% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 35.51%
    Exeter City 37.92%
    Draw 26.57%
Fleetwood TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.51%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.92%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Exeter

Fleetwood Town
33.3%
Draw
66.7%
Exeter City
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Fleetwood
Stansfield (30'), Nombe (90+3')
Mendes Gomes (28')
Hayes (90+1')
Mar 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-0
Fleetwood
Parkin (25' og.), Richards (62', 65')

Sarcevic (45')
Sep 28, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
1-2
Exeter
Blair (71')
Brown (35')
Bennett (76', 79')
Sercombe (25'), Davies (90')
Mar 9, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Exeter

Matt (89')
Nov 10, 2012 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Fleetwood
Cureton (24'), O'Flynn (57' pen.)
O'Flynn (59')
McNulty (13'), Nicholson (41')
Nicholson (45'), Davies (56'), Mawene (56'), Ferguson (61'), Ball (90')
rhs 2.0


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