League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
5 - 0
Accrington

Mitchell (36'), Key (49'), Nombe (54'), Scott (75'), Stansfield (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Accrington Stanley
52.43%	24.79%	22.78%

Both teams to score 50.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16%

51.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4%

73.6%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25%

19.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.22%

51.78%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39%

37.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.61%

74.39%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 52.42%

Accrington Stanley 22.78%

Draw 24.79%

Exeter City	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.42%	1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 7.26% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.55% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.78%