League One Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wham Stadium
  • goal Matt Butcher 14'
  • goal Conor Grant 78'

Accrington Stanley vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Accrington 0 - 1 MK Dons
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Tommy Leigh

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Plymouth 2 - 0 Forest Green
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Ryan Hardie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result

Accrington Stanley 28.27% (-0.31)
Draw 24.26% (+0.31)
Plymouth Argyle 47.47% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.04% (-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.84% (-1.59)
Under 2.5 45.16% (+1.59)
Over 3.5 32.5% (-1.54)
Under 3.5 67.5% (+1.54)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 70.54% (-1.03)
Under 0.5 29.46% (+1.03)
Over 1.5 34.54% (-1.27)
Under 1.5 65.47% (+1.28)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 80.87% (-0.63)
Under 0.5 19.13% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 49.23% (-1.05)
Under 1.5 50.77% (+1.05)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 28.27%
Draw 24.25%
Plymouth Argyle 47.48%
Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 6.89% (+0.28)
2-0 @ 4.21% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 28.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 5.64% (+0.38)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.25%
Plymouth Argyle
1-2 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.32% (+0.45)
0-2 @ 7.71% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 4.25% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.16)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 47.48%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Niall Ennis 24' goal
  • Sam Cosgrove 63' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 90'+3' goal
League One Gameweek 39
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Panutche Camara 12' goal
  • Joe Edwards 37' goal
  • Panutche Camara 62' yellowcard
  • Niall Ennis 64' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 79' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Butcher 31'
  • redcard Toby Savin 68'
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2021 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Tommy Leigh 50' goal
  • Tommy Leigh 54' yellowcard
  • Seamus Conneely 72' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Hamilton 23' (OG)
  • goal Jordan Houghton 44'
  • goal Ryan Broom 63'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 76'
  • yellowcard Jordon Garrick 79'
  • yellowcard Conor Grant 84'
League One Gameweek 10
Feb 9, 2021 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Seamus Conneely 62' yellowcard
  • goal Niall Ennis 51'
  • yellowcard Jerome Opoku 70'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Fornah 74'
League One Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Home Park
  • Luke Jephcott 43' goal
  • Niall Ennis 78' goal
  • Jerome Opoku 87' yellowcard
  • Adam Lewis 88' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Pritchard 41'
  • goal Dion Charles 47'
  • yellowcard Ben Barclay 63'
  • yellowcard Matt Butcher 74'
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2019 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Wham Stadium (Accrington, Lancashire)
  • Billy Kee 20' goal
  • Sean McConville 36' goal
  • Sean McConville 43' goal
  • Sean McConville 51' goal
  • Luke Armstrong 66' goal
  • goal Harvey Rodgers 93' (OG)