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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Accrington
0 - 2
Plymouth


Sangare (17'), McConville (38'), Martin (42'), Longelo-Mbule (90+4')
Sangare (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Butcher (14'), Grant (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth have only won six of their 18 away league matches this season, but we are expecting the visitors to triumph in this match. Accrington's recent form has been disappointing, so it is difficult to back the strugglers to collect anything from Tuesday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
28.27% (-0.301 -0.3) 24.26% (0.309 0.31) 47.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.04% (-1.276 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-1.583 -1.58)45.16% (1.584 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-1.536 -1.54)67.5% (1.537 1.54)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-1.024 -1.02)29.46% (1.025 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-1.268 -1.27)65.47% (1.271 1.27)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-0.625 -0.63)19.13% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (-1.044 -1.04)50.77% (1.045 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.27%
    Plymouth Argyle 47.48%
    Draw 24.25%
Accrington StanleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.271 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 28.27%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.374 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.444 0.44)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.25% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 47.48%

How you voted: Accrington vs Plymouth

Accrington Stanley
18.2%
Draw
10.0%
Plymouth Argyle
71.8%
110
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
4-0
Accrington
Camara (12'), Edwards (37'), Ennis (64'), Hardie (79')
Camara (62')

Butcher (31')
Savin (68')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-4
Plymouth
Leigh (50')
Leigh (54'), Conneely (72')
Hamilton (23' og.), Houghton (44'), Broom (63'), Hardie (76')
Garrick (79'), Grant (84')
Feb 9, 2021 5.30pm
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Accrington
Jephcott (43'), Ennis (78')
Opoku (87'), Lewis (88')
Pritchard (41'), Charles (47')
Barclay (63'), Butcher (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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