League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
0 - 2
Plymouth

FT(HT: 0-1)

Butcher (14'), Grant (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
28.27% ( -0.3)	24.26% ( 0.31)	47.47% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.04% (

-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.84% (

-1.58)

45.16% (

1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.5% (

-1.54)

67.5% (

1.54)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-1.02)

29.46% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

-1.27)

65.47% (

1.27)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

-0.63)

19.13% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.23% (

-1.04)

50.77% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 28.27%

Plymouth Argyle 47.48%

Draw 24.25%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.32% Total : 28.27%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.19% Total : 47.48%