League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
3 - 1
Barnsley

Stansfield (26'), Kite (49'), Nombe (89' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Thomas (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 5-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 4-2 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, March 21 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Barnsley
36.06% ( -0.04)	26.93% ( -0.07)	37.01% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 51.13% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.9% (

0.26)

54.1% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.48% (

0.22)

75.52% (

-0.22)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

0.1)

28.78% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37% (

0.13)

64.62% (

-0.12)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

0.2)

28.21% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.09% (

0.24)

63.91% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 36.05%

Barnsley 37.01%

Draw 26.93%

Exeter City	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.05%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.01%