League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Lankester (3'), Smith (57' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Quitirna (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
38.32% ( 0.01)	27.28% ( 0)	34.4% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.89% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.41% (

-0)

55.6% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

-0.01)

76.76% (

0.01)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84% (

0.01)

28.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.16% (

0.01)

63.85% (

-0)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.44% (

-0.01)

30.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.22% (

-0.01)

66.79% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 38.32%

Fleetwood Town 34.4%

Draw 27.27%

Cambridge United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.32%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.4%