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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Cambridge
1 - 2
Charlton

Jones (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leaburn (14'), Rak-Sakyi (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
31.08% (0.975 0.98)26.46% (-0.241 -0.24)42.46% (-0.736 -0.74)
Both teams to score 51.5% (1.167 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (1.296 1.3)53.12% (-1.299 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (1.09 1.09)74.69% (-1.093 -1.09)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (1.366 1.37)31.54% (-1.368 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (1.547 1.55)67.93% (-1.549 -1.55)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (0.205 0.2)24.77% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66% (0.287 0.29)59.34% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 31.08%
    Charlton Athletic 42.46%
    Draw 26.46%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 2% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.08%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.408 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 10.9% (-0.5 -0.5)
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.301 -0.3)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.097 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.46%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Cambridge
0-2
Charlton
Taylor (73'), Washington (80')
Dobson (35'), Washington (61')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Cambridge
Washington (30', 89')
Famewo (39'), Stockley (45+3'), Clare (50'), Washington (56'), Pearce (76')

Dunk (14'), May (29'), Ironside (45+2'), Digby (45+3')