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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
31.08% ( 0.98) | 26.46% ( -0.24) | 42.46% ( -0.74) |
Both teams to score 51.5% ( 1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( 1.3) | 53.12% ( -1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( 1.09) | 74.69% ( -1.09) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( 1.37) | 31.54% ( -1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.07% ( 1.55) | 67.93% ( -1.55) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% ( 0.2) | 24.77% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.66% ( 0.29) | 59.34% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.08% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.5) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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