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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 34.83% ( | 27.43% ( | 37.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.87% ( | 56.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.8% ( | 77.19% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( | 30.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( | 66.77% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( | 28.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( | 64.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.25% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.74% |