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Championship header 2

League One

Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Port Vale

Accrington
3 - 0
Port Vale

Stevens (31' og.), Rodgers (40'), Presley (68' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 5-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPort Vale
19.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)56.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)51.94% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.35% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.28% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)49.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 19.73%
    Port Vale 56.31%
    Draw 23.95%
Accrington StanleyDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 5.1%
2-0 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.73%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 12.66%
0-2 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.31%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Accrington
Worrall (57')
Ojo (30'), Smith (34'), A (63'), Benning (67')
Presley (52' pen.)
Fernandes (73'), McConville (88')
Rodgers (75')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
5-1
Accrington
Wilson (30', 73', 79'), Cass (85'), Lloyd (90+3')
Gibbons (36'), Jones (83')
Hamilton (85')
Conneely (79')
Bishop (70')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Accrington
3-2
Port Vale
McConville (52', 72'), Kee (54')
Jackson (61'), Johnson (78')
Pope (3'), Tonge (41')
Kay (65'), Worrall (77')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-2
Accrington
Worrall (22')
Kay (50')
Kee (36', 62')
Rawson (87')
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
3-0
Accrington
Purse (54'), Hughes (50', 66')
Duffy (68')

Liddle (49'), Winnard (72')
Bennett (5')