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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Port Vale |
19.73% ( 0) | 23.96% ( 0.01) | 56.31% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.06% ( -0.02) | 51.94% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.32% ( -0.02) | 73.68% ( 0.02) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% ( -0.01) | 40.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% ( -0) | 77.35% ( 0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( -0.01) | 18.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.65% ( -0.02) | 49.35% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.1% 2-0 @ 3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.73% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 12.66% 0-2 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 56.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |