League One Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Jack Stevens 31' goal
  • Harvey Rodgers 40' goal
  • Aaron Presley 68' goal

Accrington Stanley vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
Exeter 5 - 0 Accrington
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Tommy Leigh

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
Port Vale 0 - 2 Cambridge
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result

Accrington Stanley 19.73% (+0.01)
Draw 23.96% (+0.01)
Port Vale 56.31% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.4% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.06% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 51.94% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 26.32% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.68% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 12.2% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.8% (+0.02)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 59.23% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.77% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 22.65% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 77.35% (+0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 81.72% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.28% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 50.65% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.35% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 19.73%
Draw 23.95%
Port Vale 56.31%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 6.69% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.1%
2-0 @ 3% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 7.46% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.95%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 12.66%
0-2 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.31%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 22
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • David Worrall 57' goal
  • goal Aaron Presley 52'
FA Cup
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • James Wilson 30' goal
  • James Gibbons 36' yellowcard
  • James Wilson 73' goal
  • James Wilson 79' goal
  • Daniel Jones 83' yellowcard
  • Lewis Cass 85' goal
  • George Lloyd 90'+3' goal
  • redcard Colby Bishop 70'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 79'
  • goal Ethan Hamilton 85'
League Two
Jan 20, 2018 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Sean McConville 52' goal
  • Billy Kee 54' goal
  • Kayden Jackson 61' yellowcard
  • Sean McConville 72' goal
  • Callum Johnson 78' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Pope 3'
  • goal Michael Tonge 41'
  • yellowcard Antony Kay 65'
  • yellowcard David Worrall 77'
League Two
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • David Worrall 22' goal
  • Antony Kay 50' yellowcard
  • goal Billy Kee 36'
  • goal Billy Kee 62'
  • yellowcard Farrend Rawson 87'
League Two
Feb 2, 2013 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lee Hughes 50' goal
  • Darren Purse 54' goal
  • Lee Hughes 66' goal
  • Richard Duffy 68' yellowcard
  • redcard Charlie Bennett 5'
  • yellowcard Michael Liddle 49'
  • yellowcard Dean Winnard 72'
League Two
Aug 21, 2012 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Padraig Amond 43' goal
  • Aristote Nsiala 58' yellowcard
  • James Gray 90' goal
  • Michael Liddle 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Neal 43'
  • yellowcard Richard Duffy 46'
  • yellowcard Sam Morsy 51'