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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Barnsley

MK Dons
4 - 4
Barnsley

Eisa (48' pen., 61'), Leko (52'), O'Hora (69')
McEachran (19'), Johnson (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kane (30'), Norwood (73'), Watters (75', 86')
Kitching (23'), Benson (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Barnsley

MK Dons will fight hard in their bid to stay out of the bottom four on Saturday, but they meet a Barnsley side who boast more quality all over the pitch, and we see the South Yorkshire outfit coming out on top on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBarnsley
24.76% (0.392 0.39) 24.98% (0.157 0.16) 50.25% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.313 -0.31)50.83% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.276 -0.28)72.71% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.167 0.17)35.25% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (0.176 0.18)72% (-0.179 -0.18)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.35000000000001 -0.35)20.24% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.562 -0.56)52.56% (0.559 0.56)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 24.76%
    Barnsley 50.25%
    Draw 24.98%
MK DonsDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 24.76%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.1% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.85% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.25%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Barnsley

MK Dons
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Barnsley
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Barnsley
3-1
MK Dons
Williams (18'), Phillips (50'), Kane (68')
Eisa (40')
McEachran (23')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
3-5
MK Dons
Hourihane (82', 87'), Cole (91')
Abbott (37')
Afobe (33'), Carruthers (45'), Alli (52'), Grigg (71'), Reeves (79')
Randall (35')
Feb 16, 2013 3pm
Jan 21, 2006 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
MK Dons
Hassell (79'), Richards (77')
Burns (17'), Austin (68')

Small (39'), Chorley (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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