League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
4 - 4
Barnsley

Eisa (48' pen., 61'), Leko (52'), O'Hora (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kane (30'), Norwood (73'), Watters (75', 86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Barnsley
24.76% ( 0.39)	24.98% ( 0.16)	50.25% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

-0.31)

50.83% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28% (

-0.28)

72.71% (

0.28)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.75% (

0.17)

35.25% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.99% (

0.18)

72% (

-0.18)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76% (

-0.35)

20.24% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.43% (

-0.56)

52.56% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 24.76%

Barnsley 50.25%

Draw 24.98%

MK Dons	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.03% Total : 24.76%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.25%