Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Barnsley |
24.76% ( 0.39) | 24.98% ( 0.16) | 50.25% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 51.64% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.16% ( -0.31) | 50.83% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% ( -0.28) | 72.71% ( 0.28) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% ( 0.17) | 35.25% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.99% ( 0.18) | 72% ( -0.18) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.76% ( -0.35) | 20.24% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.43% ( -0.56) | 52.56% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.03% Total : 24.76% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |