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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Barnsley

MK Dons
4 - 4
Barnsley

Eisa (48' pen., 61'), Leko (52'), O'Hora (69')
McEachran (19'), Johnson (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kane (30'), Norwood (73'), Watters (75', 86')
Kitching (23'), Benson (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Barnsley

MK Dons will fight hard in their bid to stay out of the bottom four on Saturday, but they meet a Barnsley side who boast more quality all over the pitch, and we see the South Yorkshire outfit coming out on top on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBarnsley
24.76% (0.392 0.39) 24.98% (0.157 0.16) 50.25% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.313 -0.31)50.83% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.276 -0.28)72.71% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.167 0.17)35.25% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (0.176 0.18)72% (-0.179 -0.18)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.35000000000001 -0.35)20.24% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.562 -0.56)52.56% (0.559 0.56)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 24.76%
    Barnsley 50.25%
    Draw 24.98%
MK DonsDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 24.76%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.1% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.85% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.25%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Barnsley

MK Dons
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Barnsley
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Barnsley
3-1
MK Dons
Williams (18'), Phillips (50'), Kane (68')
Eisa (40')
McEachran (23')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
3-5
MK Dons
Hourihane (82', 87'), Cole (91')
Abbott (37')
Afobe (33'), Carruthers (45'), Alli (52'), Grigg (71'), Reeves (79')
Randall (35')
Feb 16, 2013 3pm
Jan 21, 2006 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
MK Dons
Hassell (79'), Richards (77')
Burns (17'), Austin (68')

Small (39'), Chorley (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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