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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Barnsley

Shaughnessy (50'), Taylor (87')
Kirk (15'), Powell (48'), Ashworth (65'), Brayford (69'), MacGillivray (81'), Shaughnessy (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cadden (89')
Watters (81'), Andersen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley

Barnsley claimed a 2-0 victory when they faced Burton at Oakwell in December, and although they do not have home advantage on this occasion, we think that they have enough quality in their squad to complete a league double over the Brewers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
24.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 23.37% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 51.76% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)43.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)66.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (0.043999999999997 0.04)31.39% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (0.052 0.05)67.76% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)16.98% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)47.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 24.87%
    Barnsley 51.76%
    Draw 23.37%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.87%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.76%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
15.4%
Draw
0.0%
Barnsley
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
Barnsley
1-2
Burton Albion
Pinillos (75')
Williams (55')
Allen (1'), Davenport (45')
McFadzean (50'), Naylor (62'), Akins (74'), Allen (88')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Barnsley
Lund (37'), Dyer (45')
Isgrove (21'), Potts (40'), Williams (73'), Barnes (87')
Isgrove (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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