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Championship header 2

League One

Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Barnsley

Shaughnessy (50'), Taylor (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cadden (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
24.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06)23.37% (0.013999999999999 0.01)51.76% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)43.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)66.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (0.043999999999997 0.04)31.39% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (0.052 0.05)67.76% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)16.98% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)47.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 24.87%
    Barnsley 51.76%
    Draw 23.37%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.87%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.76%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
15.4%
Draw
0.0%
Barnsley
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
Burton Albion
Cole (36', 73')
Connell (48')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Barnsley
0-0
Burton Albion

Mowatt (51')

Daniel (27')
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
Barnsley
1-2
Burton Albion
Pinillos (75')
Williams (55')
Allen (1'), Davenport (45')
McFadzean (50'), Naylor (62'), Akins (74'), Allen (88')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Barnsley
Lund (37'), Dyer (45')
Isgrove (21'), Potts (40'), Williams (73'), Barnes (87')
Isgrove (66')