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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Morecambe |
| 72.98% ( | 17.08% ( | 9.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( | 42.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( | 64.94% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.79% ( | 10.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.5% ( | 33.5% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.72% | 49.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.85% | 84.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-0 @ 13.09% ( 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 3-0 @ 9.96% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 4-0 @ 5.69% ( 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 5-0 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 6-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 72.97% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 2-2 @ 3.28% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 17.08% | 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 9.93% |