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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Oxford United |
| 58.32% ( | 22.67% ( | 19.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.3% ( | 47.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( | 69.9% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% ( | 16.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.59% ( | 45.41% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.89% ( | 39.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.17% ( | 75.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.31% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 2-2 @ 4.63% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 19.01% |