Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iğdır FK win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.39% and a win for Aliağa FAŞ had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iğdır FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%) , while for a Aliağa FAŞ win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.