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Championship header 2

League One

Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Portsmouth

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Long (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pack (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPortsmouth
31.76% (0.663 0.66)26.16% (-0.101 -0.1)42.08% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.585 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.32% (0.63200000000001 0.63)51.68% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.54% (0.546 0.55)73.46% (-0.548 -0.55)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.774 0.77)30.33% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.913 0.91)66.52% (-0.914 -0.91)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)58.71% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 31.76%
    Portsmouth 42.08%
    Draw 26.16%
Oxford UnitedDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.129 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.25% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.76%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.43% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.37% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 42.08%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Portsmouth

Oxford United
52.6%
Draw
21.1%
Portsmouth
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Oxford Utd
Bishop (78')
Joseph (16')
Bodin (41')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Portsmouth
3-2
Oxford Utd
Raggett (42'), Hirst (45+2'), Carter (58')
Carter (74')
Browne (3'), McNally (81')
Long (86')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
Portsmouth
McNally (6'), Brannagan (82'), Holland (90+6')
Brannagan (64'), Seddon (77'), Kane (80'), Moore (90+4')
Jacobs (10'), Curtis (51')
Jacobs (24'), Hirst (28'), Hume (45+4'), Curtis (81'), Bazunu (88'), Tunnicliffe (90+2'), Raggett (90+11')
Morrell (16')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Portsmouth

Brannagan (45+1')
White (48')
Curtis (14'), Harness (45+1')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Oxford Utd
Raggett (19')
Cannon (73'), Raggett (90+1')
Rodriguez (69' pen.)
Clare (52'), Taylor (90+2')