League One Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fratton Park

Portsmouth vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
MK Dons 1 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Colby Bishop

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 3 Plymouth
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 74.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Portsmouth 74.6% (+1.02)
Draw 16.32% (-0.57)
Morecambe 9.08% (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.75% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.3% (+1.16)
Under 2.5 41.7% (-1.16)
Over 3.5 35.9% (+1.16)
Under 3.5 64.1% (-1.16)
Over 4.5 18.94% (+0.87)
Under 4.5 81.06% (-0.87)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 90.41% (+0.56)
Under 0.5 9.59% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 67.93% (+1.28)
Under 1.5 32.07% (-1.27)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 49.5% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 50.5% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 15% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 85% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Portsmouth 74.6%
Draw 16.32%
Morecambe 9.08%
Portsmouth
2-0 @ 13.31% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.32)
3-0 @ 10.4% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 7.11% (+0.11)
4-0 @ 6.1% (+0.27)
4-1 @ 4.17% (+0.16)
5-0 @ 2.86% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.43% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.95% (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.42% (+0.05)
6-0 @ 1.12% (+0.10)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 74.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.76% (-0.27)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 16.32%
Morecambe
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 9.08%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Liam Shaw 36' goal
  • goal Colby Bishop 67'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jonah Ayunga 90'+3' goal
  • Gregory Leigh 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Raggett 41'
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcus Harness 11' goal
  • Recco Hackett-Fairchild 60' yellowcard
  • Connor Ogilvie 77' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Gibson 38'
  • yellowcard Ryan McLaughlin 85'
  • yellowcard Ryan Delaney 90'+5'
League Two
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kal Naismith 64' goal
  • Gary Roberts 76' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Molyneux 83'
  • yellowcard Michael Rose 90'
League Two
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ryan Edwards 10' goal
  • Tom Barkhuizen 21' goal
  • Cole Stockton 65' yellowcard
  • Andrew Fleming 79' yellowcard
  • Lee Molyneux 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Doyle 67'
  • yellowcard Enda Stevens 91'
League Two
Feb 2, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andrew Fleming 58' yellowcard
  • Shaun Beeley 89' yellowcard
  • Barry Roche 94' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Clarke 20'
  • goal Gareth Evans 40'