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League One
Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Morecambe
1 - 3
Plymouth

Weir (3')
Rawson (30'), Austerfield (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mayor (63'), Waine (86'), Matete (90+3')
Edwards (59'), Matete (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Morecambe and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth Argyle

 We can see Plymouth Argyle producing a big response after last weekend's Wembley humiliation, with the visitors expected to enhance their promotion prospects while piling more pressure on lowly Morecambe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
MorecambeDrawPlymouth Argyle
23.02% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.05% (0.0010000000000012 0) 53.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02)44.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)66.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.035 0.04)69.82% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.99%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 23.02%
    Plymouth Argyle 53.93%
    Draw 23.05%
MorecambeDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.02%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.68%
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.93%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Plymouth

Morecambe
11.5%
Draw
7.7%
Plymouth Argyle
80.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Morecambe
Ennis (69'), Cosgrove (84')
O'Connor (90+1')
Shaw (30')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Morecambe
Grant (14'), Hardie (43')

Connolly (34'), Stockton (59')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Plymouth
Ayunga (6')
Jones (65')
Mayor (12')
Houghton (79'), Galloway (84')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
P-P
Plymouth
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Morecambe
Cooper (44'), Sarcevic (45' pen.), Grant (91')
Grant (19')

Brewitt (9')
Sutton (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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