League One Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Jensen Weir 3' goal
  • goal Danny Mayor 63'
  • goal Ben Waine 86'
  • goal Jay Matete 90'+3'

Morecambe vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
Barnsley 5 - 0 Morecambe
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
Accrington 0 - 2 Plymouth
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Ryan Hardie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result

Morecambe 23.02% (+0.03)
Draw 23.05% (+0.01)
Plymouth Argyle 53.93% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.86% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.69% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 44.31% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 33.31% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 66.69% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17.02% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.98% (-0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 66.79% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.21% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.18% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.82% (-0.04)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 83.63% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.37%
Over 1.5 54.01% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 45.99%

Score analysis

Morecambe 23.02%
Draw 23.05%
Plymouth Argyle 53.93%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 5.99% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.98% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.05%
Plymouth Argyle
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.68%
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 53.93%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park
  • Niall Ennis 69' goal
  • Sam Cosgrove 84' goal
  • goal Anthony O'Connor 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Conor Grant 14' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 43' goal
  • yellowcard Dylan Connolly 34'
  • yellowcard Cole Stockton 59'
League One Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jonah Ayunga 6' goal
  • Callum Jones 65' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Mayor 12'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 79'
  • yellowcard Brendan Galloway 84'
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 14, 2020 3.00pm
Globe Arena
League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Joshua Grant 19' yellowcard
  • George Cooper 44' goal
  • Antoni Sarcevic 45' goal
  • Conor Grant 91' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Brewitt 9'
  • redcard Ritchie Sutton 42'
League Two
Mar 18, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Graham Carey 17' goal
  • Matthew Kennedy 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Ellison 88'
  • yellowcard Alex Whitmore 94'