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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 27.56% ( | 25.27% ( | 47.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.04% ( | 49.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.05% ( | 71.95% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( | 32.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( | 69.01% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( | 21.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( | 54.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 2-1 @ 6.75% ( 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.56% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.17% |