Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.