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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 29.33% ( | 25.73% ( | 44.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% ( | 50.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% ( | 72.76% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% ( | 31.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.95% ( | 68.05% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( | 22.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.33% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.93% |