League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Peterborough2 - 0Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League One
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 0-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
We said: Peterborough United 2-2 Derby County
This has all of the makings of a very entertaining game of football, and we are predicting goals on Saturday afternoon. Both sides are in need of the three points, but the desire not to lose could become a feature of the match, particularly in the second half, so we are backing a score draw here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Derby County |
| 38.52% | 25.65% | 35.82% |
| Both teams to score 55.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
