League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
2 - 0
Derby

Mason-Clark (52'), Ogbeta (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 0-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Derby County
38.52%	25.65%	35.82%

Both teams to score 55.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32%

48.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21%

70.79%

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17%

24.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.59%

59.41%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67%

26.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.54%

61.46%

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 38.52%

Derby County 35.82%

Draw 25.65%

Peterborough United	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.52%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.26% Total : 35.82%