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Championship header 2

League One

Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Bolton logo

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Bolton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Charles (7')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Bolton Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Oxford Utd
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Cambridge
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
26.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.82%48.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (0.012999999999998 0.01)48.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (0.013999999999999 0.01)70.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (0.022999999999996 0.02)32.79% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (0.024999999999999 0.02)69.35% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)20.07% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)52.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 26.43%
    Bolton Wanderers 48.74%
    Draw 24.81%
Oxford UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 6.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.09% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.43%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 48.74%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Bolton
1-3
Oxford Utd
Charles (73')
Williams (20')
Anderson (25'), Brown (53'), Seddon (79')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Bolton
Bodin (9', 32')
Moore (26'), Kane (70'), Seddon (76')
John (10'), Fossey (38'), Bakayoko (86')
Afolayan (74')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Afolayan (45'), Doyle (63')
Taylor (11')
Taylor (39'), McGuane (85'), Forde (90+2')
May 3, 2020 12pm
Oxford Utd
P-P
Bolton
Sep 17, 2019 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Oxford Utd

Hobbs (55'), Politic (64')