MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 17:37:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bolton logo

Exeter
0 - 1
Bolton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradley (27')
Mbete (76'), Thomason (82'), N'Lundulu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Exeter's recent home form has been excellent, and this has the potential to be a very tough game for Bolton, who are not in the best of form in the league. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in Devon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
35.26% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 25.89% (0.0030000000000001 0) 38.84% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)71.8% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)27.19% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)62.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 35.26%
    Bolton Wanderers 38.84%
    Draw 25.89%
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.84%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bolton

Exeter City
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bolton Wanderers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')

Sparkes (90+3')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!