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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cambridge United

Bolton
1 - 1
Cambridge

John (67')
Johnston (56'), Bradley (71'), Mbete (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (90+5')
Smith (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cambridge United

Despite not being free-scoring on home turf, Bolton have the meanest defence in the third tier, and that stinginess should put them in good stead against a side that have netted 13 goals in 19 away League Two fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
65.51% (-0.129 -0.13) 20.45% (-0.124 -0.12) 14.04% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 47.56% (1.034 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.04% (1.037 1.04)46.95% (-1.037 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (0.96 0.96)69.2% (-0.959 -0.96)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.28800000000001 0.29)13.51% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (0.57 0.57)40.56% (-0.569 -0.57)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.99% (1.016 1.02)45% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.06% (0.802 0.8)80.93% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 65.5%
    Cambridge United 14.04%
    Draw 20.45%
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 12.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 8.13% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.107 0.11)
4-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.114 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 65.5%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.45%
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.092 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 14.04%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cambridge

Bolton Wanderers
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Cambridge United
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 8pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
1-0
Bolton
Tracey (16')
Iredale (17'), Digby (38'), Hoolahan (54'), O'Neil (73')

Williams (13'), Sarcevic (29'), Santos (88')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Bolton
2-1
Cambridge
Doyle (38'), Sarcevic (43')
Lee (90+4')
Knoyle (80')
Mullin (49'), Ironside (58'), Drysdale (59')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Cambridge
1-1
Bolton
Crellin (73' og.)
Iredale (90+4')
Sarcevic (82')
Delaney (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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