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League One
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Oxford United

Port Vale
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Massey (44'), Smith (45'), Benning (45+4'), Pett (60'), Worrall (74')
Politic (90+2')
FT

McGuane (58'), Joseph (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Port Vale and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Port Vale
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Oxford United

 Oxford will be desperate to claim their first win since January, but having failed to win on their last four trips to Vale Park, we think that they will have to settle for a point on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawOxford United
35.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.13%36.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.26% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)67.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 35.3%
    Oxford United 36.57%
    Draw 28.12%
Port ValeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 36.57%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Oxford Utd

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Oxford United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-0
Port Vale
Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')

Robinson (35')
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-0
Port Vale
Ruffles (14'), Maguire (82')

Streete (40')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Oxford Utd
Cicilia (54'), Taylor (59' pen.)
Mac-Intosch (26')
Dunkley (11'), Crowley (19')
Nelson (58'), Dunkley (65')
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Port Vale
Smalley (76'), Potter (10')
Batt (42'), Parker (54'), Capaldi (90')
Loft (16')
Jones (54'), Myrie-Williams (81'), Loft (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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