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Championship header 2

League One

Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Barnsley

Forest Green
1 - 5
Barnsley

Brown (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Tedic (8'), Phillips (29', 52'), Norwood (37'), Cole (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Forest Green
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 64.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 14.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.95%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawBarnsley
14.88% (-0.113 -0.11)21.01% (-0.191 -0.19)64.11% (0.312 0.31)
Both teams to score 47.9% (0.338 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (0.595 0.59)47.62% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (0.547 0.55)69.82% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.8% (0.20699999999999 0.21)44.2% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (0.168 0.17)80.29% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.85% (0.292 0.29)14.15% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.18% (0.559 0.56)41.82% (-0.552 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 14.88%
    Barnsley 64.1%
    Draw 21.01%
Forest Green RoversDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 5.11% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-1 @ 4.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 14.88%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 21.01%
0-1 @ 12.23% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 11.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.36% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
0-4 @ 3.81% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.11% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.044 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.49% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.035 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.22% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 64.1%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Barnsley

Forest Green Rovers
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Barnsley
81.8%
11
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
Forest Green
Cole (15'), Martin (83')
Kitching (33')