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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
29.31% ( 0.49) | 26.39% ( -0.05) | 44.29% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 50.87% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.46% ( 0.44) | 53.53% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.95% ( 0.37) | 75.05% ( -0.37) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% ( 0.6) | 33.02% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.38% ( 0.66) | 69.61% ( -0.66) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( -0.02) | 24.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( -0.02) | 58.31% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |