League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 2
Ipswich

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chaplin (17'), Hirst (76')

Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Ipswich Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Derby
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Ipswich Town
33.48% ( -0)	25.5% ( -0.01)	41.02% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.44% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.59% (

0.05)

48.41% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

0.04)

70.55% (

-0.05)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

0.02)

27.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86% (

0.03)

63.14% (

-0.03)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

0.03)

23.41% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6% (

0.04)

57.4% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Derby County 33.48%

Ipswich Town 41.02%

Draw 25.5%

Derby County	Draw	Ipswich Town
1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.48%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.02%