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Conor Chaplin
17'
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George Hirst
76'
Derby County vs Ipswich Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result
Derby County
33.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
25.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Ipswich Town
41.02%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
55.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.59%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
48.41%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
29.45%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
70.55%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
14.29%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
85.71%
▼
(-0.04)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
72.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
27.61%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
36.86%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
63.14%
▼
(-0.04)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5
76.59%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
23.41%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
42.6%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
57.4%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Derby County
33.48%
Draw
25.5%
Ipswich Town
41.02%
Derby County
1-0
@
8.32%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.48%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.48%
Draw
1-1
@
12.07%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
Ipswich Town
0-1
@
9.38%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 41.02%
1-2 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 41.02%
