League One Gameweek 43
Ipswich
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Portman Road Stadium
Port Vale
  • Nathan Broadhead 53' goal
  • Nathan Broadhead 84' goal
  • goal Malvind Benning 45'+2'

Ipswich Town vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Ipswich 6 - 0 Charlton
Goals scored
101
Top scorer
Conor Chaplin

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Lincoln 3 - 2 Port Vale
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result

Ipswich Town 73.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 16.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Port Vale 10.1% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 37.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 40.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 59.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 22.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 77.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 91.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 8.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 69.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 30.18% ▲ (+0.06)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 54.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 45.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 18.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 81.48% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ipswich Town 73.71%
Draw 16.18%
Port Vale 10.1%
Ipswich Town
2-0 @ 11.87%
1-0 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95%
5-0 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 73.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 16.18%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 10.1%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 13
Port Vale
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vale Park
Ipswich
  • Nathan Smith 47' goal
  • Gavin Massey 45'+6' goal
  • goal Freddie Ladapo 34'
  • goal Cameron Humphreys 38'
  • goal Freddie Ladapo 51'

Form Data

Ipswich 6 - 0 Charlton
Cheltenham 1 - 1 Ipswich
Ipswich 4 - 0 Wycombe
Derby 0 - 2 Ipswich
Ipswich 2 - 0 Shrewsbury
Bolton 0 - 2 Ipswich
Lincoln 3 - 2 Port Vale
Port Vale 0 - 0 Oxford Utd
Accrington 3 - 0 Port Vale
Port Vale 0 - 2 Cambridge
Portsmouth 2 - 2 Port Vale
Port Vale 2 - 3 Burton Albion