League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
2 - 1
Port Vale

Broadhead (53', 84' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Benning (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Charlton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Port Vale
73.72% ( -0.05)	16.18% ( 0.02)	10.1% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.52% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.3% (

-0.04)

37.7% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.05% (

-0.05)

59.94% (

0.05)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.2% (

-0.02)

8.8% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.82% (

-0.06)

30.18% (

0.06)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.3% (

0.02)

45.7% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.51% (

0.02)

81.48% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 73.71%

Port Vale 10.1%

Draw 16.18%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Port Vale
2-0 @ 11.87% 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 73.71%	1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.18%	0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.1%