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Championship header 2

League One

Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Port Vale

Lincoln
3 - 2
Port Vale

Sorensen (11'), House (42'), Jackson (87')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Taylor (30' pen.), Butterworth (33')
Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Lincoln
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Oxford Utd
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
30.39%27.73% (0.004999999999999 0)41.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 47.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.83% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)58.16% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)78.82% (0.012 0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.66% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)71.38% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)27.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)62.87% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 30.4%
    Port Vale 41.87%
    Draw 27.73%
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.4%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.49% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 12.29%
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.96%
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.87%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Lincoln
Butterworth (68')

House (2')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Port Vale
McCartan (58')
Eardley (43')
Oyeleke (90')
Kay (17'), Joyce (36'), Clark (43'), Hannant (47')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Port Vale
2-6
Lincoln
Conlon (51'), Whitfield (90' pen.)
Legge (45'), Miller (56')
Anderson (3'), McCartan (38'), Legge (45' og.), Bostwick (48'), Wharton (78'), Wilson (84')
Wilson (60')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
0-4
Lincoln

Dodds (17'), Montano (35')
Shackell (5'), Green (48' pen.), O'Connor (80'), Akinde (82')
Rhead (58')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Lincoln
Kay (63')
Davis (14'), Kay (84')

Waterfall (20'), Eardley (85')
rhs 2.0


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