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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Lincoln City |
58.44% ( 1.45) | 22.67% ( -0.56) | 18.89% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 50.9% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.12% ( 1.1) | 47.89% ( -1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% ( 1) | 70.07% ( -0.99) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.93% ( 0.89) | 16.07% ( -0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.55% ( 1.6) | 45.45% ( -1.59) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.65% ( -0.34) | 39.35% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% ( -0.32) | 76.05% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.16% Total : 58.43% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |