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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Lincoln City

Plymouth
0 - 2
Lincoln


Wilson (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shodipo (28'), House (47')
O'Connor (43'), Virtue (56'), Erhahon (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Lincoln City

Although Lincoln would have taken confidence from Friday's victory, we think that they will be unable to trouble a Plymouth side that have won eight of their last nine home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLincoln City
58.44% (1.452 1.45) 22.67% (-0.559 -0.56) 18.89% (-0.887 -0.89)
Both teams to score 50.9% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (1.095 1.1)47.89% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (0.999 1)70.07% (-0.992 -0.99)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.93% (0.892 0.89)16.07% (-0.885 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.55% (1.6 1.6)45.45% (-1.593 -1.59)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (-0.337 -0.34)39.35% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (-0.317 -0.32)76.05% (0.324 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 58.43%
    Lincoln City 18.89%
    Draw 22.67%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.207 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.173 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.106 0.11)
5-1 @ 1% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 58.43%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.89%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Lincoln

Plymouth Argyle
76.0%
Draw
8.0%
Lincoln City
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Lincoln
Jephcott (34')
Garrick (90+5')
Marquis (51'), Melbourne (90+2')
Bramall (62'), Bishop (82'), Cullen (88'), McGrandles (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-2
Plymouth
Sorensen (66'), Scully (90' pen.)
Bishop (36'), Nlundulu (45+4'), Maguire (80'), Scully (90+2')
Hardie (25'), Galloway (74')
Scarr (90'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
4-3
Lincoln
Watts (3'), Mayor (13'), Grant (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Fornah (27'), Edwards (63')
McGrandles (22'), Grant (59' pen., 62')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Second Round
Plymouth
2-0
Lincoln
Jephcott (6'), Reeves (55')
Canavan (55'), Opoku (85')

Melbourne (21'), Walsh (54'), Edun (67'), McGrandles (76'), (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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