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Championship header 2

League One

Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Lincoln City

Plymouth
0 - 2
Lincoln

FT(HT: 0-1)
Shodipo (28'), House (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLincoln City
58.44% (1.452 1.45)22.67% (-0.559 -0.56)18.89% (-0.887 -0.89)
Both teams to score 50.9% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (1.095 1.1)47.89% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (0.999 1)70.07% (-0.992 -0.99)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.93% (0.892 0.89)16.07% (-0.885 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.55% (1.6 1.6)45.45% (-1.593 -1.59)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (-0.337 -0.34)39.35% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (-0.317 -0.32)76.05% (0.324 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 58.43%
    Lincoln City 18.89%
    Draw 22.67%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.207 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.173 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.106 0.11)
5-1 @ 1% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 58.43%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.89%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Lincoln

Plymouth Argyle
76.0%
Draw
8.0%
Lincoln City
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Plymouth
Sanders (45+1')
Randell (31')
Houghton (71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Lincoln
Jephcott (34')
Garrick (90+5')
Marquis (51'), Melbourne (90+2')
Bramall (62'), Bishop (82'), Cullen (88'), McGrandles (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-2
Plymouth
Sorensen (66'), Scully (90' pen.)
Bishop (36'), Nlundulu (45+4'), Maguire (80'), Scully (90+2')
Hardie (25'), Galloway (74')
Scarr (90'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
4-3
Lincoln
Watts (3'), Mayor (13'), Grant (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Fornah (27'), Edwards (63')
McGrandles (22'), Grant (59' pen., 62')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Second Round
Plymouth
2-0
Lincoln
Jephcott (6'), Reeves (55')
Canavan (55'), Opoku (85')

Melbourne (21'), Walsh (54'), Edun (67'), McGrandles (76'), (90+5')