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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Blundell Park
AFC Wimbledon

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Ogundere (7' og.)
Glennon (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davison (34'), Ogundere (43'), Nightingale (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

No team has drawn more home games in League Two than Grimsby (10) this season, and we are predicting another stalemate here. AFC Wimbledon have avoided defeat in 12 of their 22 away league games this term and have enough quality to emerge with a point on the final matchday of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.1% (0.147 0.15) 27.48% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 25.42% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.4% (-0.163 -0.16)59.6% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07% (-0.125 -0.13)79.93% (0.126 0.13)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (-0.239 -0.24)39.5% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (-0.223 -0.22)76.19% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 47.09%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.42%
    Draw 27.47%
Grimsby TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.74% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 25.42%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon

Grimsby Town
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
AFC Wimbledon
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport442611791444789
4MK Dons442281474611374
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe441913126861770
6BarrowBarrow431814115849968
7Crawley TownCrawley44206186965466
8Walsall441811156665165
9Doncaster RoversDoncaster43197176363064
10Gillingham44189174353-1063
11AFC Wimbledon4416141457471062
12Harrogate TownHarrogate441711165562-762
13Bradford CityBradford431612155255-360
14Notts County44177208885358
15Morecambe44179186376-1357
16Newport CountyNewport44167216171-1055
17Tranmere RoversTranmere44166226364-154
18Accrington StanleyAccrington44159205766-954
19Swindon TownSwindon441411197478-453
20Salford City441211216380-1747
21Grimsby Town441016185572-1746
22Colchester UnitedColchester431111215774-1744
23Sutton UnitedSutton44913225378-2540
RForest Green RoversForest Green4499264177-3636


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