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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
47.1% ( 0.15) | 27.48% ( 0.02) | 25.42% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 45.15% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.4% ( -0.16) | 59.6% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.07% ( -0.13) | 79.93% ( 0.13) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( -0) | 25.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.83% ( -0) | 60.17% ( 0) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.5% ( -0.24) | 39.5% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% ( -0.22) | 76.19% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 47.09% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 25.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
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