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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Blundell Park
AFC Wimbledon

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Ogundere (7' og.)
Glennon (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davison (34'), Ogundere (43'), Nightingale (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

No team has drawn more home games in League Two than Grimsby (10) this season, and we are predicting another stalemate here. AFC Wimbledon have avoided defeat in 12 of their 22 away league games this term and have enough quality to emerge with a point on the final matchday of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.1% (0.147 0.15) 27.48% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 25.42% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.4% (-0.163 -0.16)59.6% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07% (-0.125 -0.13)79.93% (0.126 0.13)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (-0.239 -0.24)39.5% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (-0.223 -0.22)76.19% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 47.09%
    AFC Wimbledon 25.42%
    Draw 27.47%
Grimsby TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.74% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 25.42%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs AFC Wimbledon

Grimsby Town
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
AFC Wimbledon
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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