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Championship header 2

League Two

Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Grimsby Town

Stevenage
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Reid (57'), Wildin (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Crewe
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawGrimsby Town
55.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.99% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 48.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)73.75% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)18.45% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)49.63% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)40.53% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)77.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 55.94%
    Grimsby Town 19.99%
    Draw 24.06%
StevenageDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 12.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 55.94%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 19.99%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Grimsby Town
1-1
Stevenage
Maher (90+1')
Green (42')
Reeves (79')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Grimsby Town
1-2
Stevenage
Payne (90+3')
McKeown (73')
List (42'), Stevens (90+5')
Vincelot (70')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
gameweek 10
Stevenage
0-0
Grimsby Town

Coker (84')

Taylor (53')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 30
Grimsby Town
3-1
Stevenage
Nugent (17' og.), Clarke (63' pen.), Vernam (72')
Clarke (64'), Hendrie (78')
Lakin (92')
Lakin (79'), Nugent (87')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
gameweek 13
Stevenage
2-1
Grimsby Town
Guthrie (17'), Carter (44')
Farman (83')
Rose (80')
rhs 2.0


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