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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
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Fleetwood Town
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Stevenage

Swindon
0 - 1
Stevenage

FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (25')
Clark (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stevenage

Stevenage are real contenders for the League Two title, but travelling to Swindon will prove to be a tough test, considering that they have not won in their last four league away games. If any team takes the three points, it is likely to be the visitors, but we expect the spoils to be shared in a very closely-contested game, given that the hosts will be full of confidence after an emphatic win in their last match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStevenage
33.16% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 28.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 38.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.98% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)60.37% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.48% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)80.52% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)30.5% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (-0.151 -0.15)66.72% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 33.16%
    Stevenage 38.3%
    Draw 28.53%
Swindon TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.16%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 12.25%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.3%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stevenage

Swindon Town
57.1%
Draw
7.1%
Stevenage
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 14
Stevenage
2-0
Swindon
Roberts (11', 60')
Piergianni (45+3')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Swindon
0-0
Stevenage

Reed (40'), Iandolo (79')

Reeves (75')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Stevenage
1-1
Swindon
Coker (54')
Payne (90+5' pen.)
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Stevenage
Doyle (90')
Grant (12'), Fryers (61'), Doyle (92')

Parrett (79'), Denton (90'), Farman (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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