League Two

League Two | Gameweek 26

Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
0 - 1
Stevenage

FT(HT: 0-1)

Reid (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Stevenage
33.16% ( 0.1)	28.53% ( 0.03)	38.31% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 45.98% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.63% (

-0.1)

60.37% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.48% (

-0.07)

80.52% (

0.07)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

0.02)

33.83% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.5% (

0.02)

70.5% (

-0.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5% (

-0.13)

30.5% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.28% (

-0.15)

66.72% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 33.16%

Stevenage 38.3%

Draw 28.53%

Swindon Town	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.16%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 12.25% 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.3%