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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 38.39% ( | 26.99% | 34.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% ( | 54.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.2% ( | 75.79% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( | 27.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( | 63.08% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( | 29.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( | 65.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.61% |