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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 60.9% ( | 22.02% ( | 17.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( | 47.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( | 70.11% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( | 15.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.03% ( | 43.97% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.51% ( | 41.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22% ( | 78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 2-0 @ 11.18% ( 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 3-0 @ 7.01% ( 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 5-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 60.88% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0-2 @ 2.45% ( 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.08% |