League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT One Call Stadium
  • Hiram Boateng 6' goal
  • goal Owen Dodgson 43'

Mansfield Town vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
Swindon 2 - 4 Mansfield
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Will Swan

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
Rochdale 4 - 2 Walsall
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Devante Rodney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Mansfield Town 60.9% (+1.10)
Draw 22.02% (-0.54)
Rochdale 17.08% (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.57% (+0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.07% (+1.31)
Under 2.5 47.93% (-1.31)
Over 3.5 29.89% (+1.20)
Under 3.5 70.11% (-1.19)
Over 4.5 14.6% (+0.82)
Under 4.5 85.4% (-0.82)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 84.73% (+0.81)
Under 0.5 15.27% (-0.81)
Over 1.5 56.03% (+1.50)
Under 1.5 43.97% (-1.50)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 58.51% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 41.5% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 22% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 78% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Mansfield Town 60.88%
Draw 22.02%
Rochdale 17.08%
Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.9% (-0.33)
2-0 @ 11.18% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 7.01% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 6.17% (+0.20)
4-0 @ 3.29% (+0.19)
4-1 @ 2.9% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.27% (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.24% (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-98.62)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 60.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.35)
2-2 @ 4.33% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.02%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.30)
1-2 @ 4.61% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 17.08%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • goal George Maris 66'
League Two Gameweek 25
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paul Downing 31' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Bowery 86'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • George Maris 68' yellowcard
  • Stephen McLaughlin 71' yellowcard
  • Danny Johnson 72' goal
  • Danny Johnson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ollie Clarke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Cashman 50'
EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Callum Camps 17'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 83'
League Two
Apr 12, 2014 3.07pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ryan Tafazolli 14' yellowcard
  • Martin Riley 72' goal
  • Matt Rhead 87' goal
  • Ryan Tafazolli 90' goal
  • yellowcard Oliver Lancashire 27'
  • yellowcard Matt Done 40'
  • yellowcard Scott Hogan 52'
  • yellowcard Peter Cavanagh 61'
  • yellowcard George Donnelly 90'
League Two
Dec 26, 2013 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Scott Hogan 6' goal
  • Matthew Lund 13' goal
  • Scott Hogan 50' goal
  • yellowcard Lindon Meikle 52'