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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
27.65% ( 0.19) | 26.03% ( -0.13) | 46.31% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.9% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.01% ( 0.61) | 52.99% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% ( 0.52) | 74.58% ( -0.51) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.98% ( 0.48) | 34.02% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.3% ( 0.51) | 70.7% ( -0.5) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( 0.24) | 22.85% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% ( 0.35) | 56.58% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 60 | 53 | 7 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
8 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 67 | 65 | 2 | 67 |
9 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 63 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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