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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 27.65% ( | 26.03% ( | 46.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% ( | 52.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( | 74.58% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( | 34.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( | 70.7% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( | 22.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( | 56.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 3-0 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0-2 @ 8.47% ( 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0-3 @ 4.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0-4 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.31% |