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Championship header 2

League Two

Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Grimsby Town

Doncaster
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

Barlow (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maher (85'), Lloyd (90+6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Doncaster
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-4 Hartlepool
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawGrimsby Town
35.69% (0.357 0.36)28.13% (0.044 0.04)36.18% (-0.395 -0.39)
Both teams to score 47.41% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27% (-0.14 -0.14)58.74% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.109 -0.11)79.27% (0.116 0.12)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (0.16 0.16)31.31% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (0.183 0.18)67.66% (-0.176 -0.18)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)30.99% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (-0.373 -0.37)67.3% (0.38 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 35.68%
    Grimsby Town 36.18%
    Draw 28.13%
Doncaster RoversDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.68%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.18%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-3
Doncaster
McAtee (79')
Hunt (44')
Miller (6', 63'), Biggins (51')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
1-0
Doncaster
Cook (40')

Taylor (78')
Oct 9, 2018 7.30pm
Doncaster
2-0
Grimsby Town
May (23', 57' pen.)
Anderson (31'), Anderson (90')

Pringle (89')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Doncaster
 Doncaster win 4-3 on penalties
Cardwell (29')
Jones (20'), Davies (69')
Williams (38')
Mandeville (86')
Apr 1, 2017 1pm
Grimsby Town
1-5
Doncaster
Jones (34')
Clements (6'), Dyson (22'), Mills (65')
Marquis (37', 43', 61'), Williams (78'), May (88')
Williams (49')