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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Gillingham
1 - 0
Doncaster

Nichols (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 0-2 Crewe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawDoncaster Rovers
46.85% (-0.35 -0.35)27.67% (-0.147 -0.15)25.48% (0.5 0.5)
Both teams to score 44.69% (0.78 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.79% (0.788 0.79)60.21% (-0.78299999999999 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6% (0.594 0.59)80.4% (-0.59 -0.59)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.18900000000001 0.19)25.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (0.252 0.25)60.72% (-0.248 -0.25)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (0.901 0.9)39.79% (-0.896 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (0.817 0.82)76.46% (-0.81400000000001 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 46.84%
    Doncaster Rovers 25.48%
    Draw 27.66%
GillinghamDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 13.9% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.25% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 25.48%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Doncaster
1-0
Gillingham
Biggins (60')
Maxwell (9')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Doncaster
0-1
Gillingham

Galbraith (90+7')
Kelman (1')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-0
Doncaster
Oliver (79')
Oliver (41'), O'Keefe (76')

Knoyle (52'), Williams (70')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gillingham
2-2
Doncaster
Graham (2'), Oliver (4')
Anderson (19'), Coppinger (23')
Okenabirhie (74')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Doncaster
2-1
Gillingham
James (29'), Halliday (53')
Smith (86')
Dempsey (51')
rhs 2.0


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