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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Mansfield Town

Newport
1 - 2
Mansfield

Wildig (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boateng (24'), Gale (73')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Mansfield Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawMansfield Town
32.96% (0.019999999999996 0.02)27.32% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)39.72% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.5% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (0.135 0.13)55.97% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (0.108 0.11)77.06% (-0.111 -0.11)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.082999999999998 0.08)31.69% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (0.094999999999999 0.09)68.11% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (0.069999999999993 0.07)27.54% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.089999999999996 0.09)63.06% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 32.96%
    Mansfield Town 39.71%
    Draw 27.32%
Newport CountyDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.96%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.71%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
0-0
Newport

Perch (41')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Newport
1-1
Mansfield
Telford (82' pen.)
Baker-Richardson (74')
Pask (68' og.)
Hawkins (74'), Quinn (83'), McLaughlin (84')
O'Toole (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
2-1
Newport
Maris (7'), Clarke (43')
Perch (30'), Gordon (68'), Hawkins (74')
Willmott (9')
Abraham (21'), Missilou (33'), Haynes (72')
Apr 9, 2021 6pm
Mansfield
1-1
Newport
Sinclair (84')
Lapslie (57')
Labadie (75')
Lewis (81'), Labadie (88')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-1
Mansfield
Twine (78'), Dolan (88' pen.)
McLaughlin (69')
Perch (65'), O'Keeffe (87'), Smith (87')
rhs 2.0


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