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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Hartlepool United

Newport
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Bogle (17'), Demetriou (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Newport
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Stevenage
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawHartlepool United
51.92% (0.048999999999999 0.05)25.27% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)22.81% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.034999999999997 0.03)53.65% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.029 0.03)75.15% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.034000000000006 0.03)20.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.052 0.05)53.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)38.59% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)75.33% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 51.91%
    Hartlepool United 22.81%
    Draw 25.26%
Newport CountyDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 51.91%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.81%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Hartlepool
0-1
Newport

Pruti (27'), Jennings (67')
Demetriou (90+1')
Baker (45+1'), Bennett (83')
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Newport
2-3
Hartlepool
Bogle (16' og.), Street (72')
Sterry (35'), Molyneux (45+3'), Byrne (73')
Liddle (28'), Sterry (87')
Nov 12, 2021 7.45pm
Hartlepool
1-2
Newport
Ferguson (63')
Baker-Richardson (32'), Telford (90+3')
Cooper (60'), Demetriou (62'), Upson (90')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Newport
3-1
Hartlepool
Bird (15'), Williams (56'), Butler (71')
Amond (94')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Newport
Featherstone (2'), Amond (38')
Nsiala (3')
Rigg (4'), Parkin (27')
Randall (47'), Jones (62')
rhs 2.0


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