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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Newport County |
| 46.55% ( | 27.38% ( | 26.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.11% ( | 58.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( | 79.38% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( | 25.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.91% ( | 60.09% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( | 38.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.71% ( | 75.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-1 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.55% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 26.06% |