League Two Gameweek 8
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Gavan Holohan 13' goal
  • Danilo Orsi 82' goal

Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Tranmere 2 - 0 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Harry Clifton

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 2 - 0 Crewe
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dan Agyei

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result

Grimsby Town 52.3% (-0.03)
Draw 26.29% (+0.01)
Crewe Alexandra 21.41% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.28% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.38% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 58.62% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 20.83% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 79.17% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 8.82% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.18% (-0.01)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.45% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.55% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.86% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.14% (+0.02)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 57.17% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 42.83% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 20.86% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 79.14% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Grimsby Town 52.29%
Draw 26.29%
Crewe Alexandra 21.41%
Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 14.38% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.71% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.66% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.85% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.29%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.47% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 21.41%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • goal John McAtee 3'
  • goal George Lloyd 31'
  • goal Tom Dickson-Peters 84'
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Danny Amos 3' yellowcard
  • Luke Waterfall 13' goal
  • Kieran Green 34' goal
  • Andy Smith 56' goal
  • Stephen Wearne 86' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Mellor 65'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 18, 2020 3.00pm
Alexandra Stadium
League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 7, 2019 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Hanson 49' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Lowery 46'
  • yellowcard Daniel Powell 62'
  • goal Charlie Kirk 91'
  • yellowcard Charlie Kirk 92'
League Two Gameweek 46
May 4, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Blundell Park (Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire)
  • Harry Davis 26' goal
  • Joe Grayson 34' goal
  • Max Wright 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Sass-Davies 12'
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 19'
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 27, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium (Crewe, Cheshire)
  • Corey Whelan 70' goal
  • Shaun Miller 77' goal