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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Crewe Alexandra

Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Crewe

Holohan (13'), Orsi (82')
Khan (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mellor (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

Grimsby have a fantastic recent record against Crewe, and while they have not been at their best in recent times, they have lost just one of their last eight home games in the league. As such, we expect the Mariners to run out narrow victors in a result that will move them up into the top half of the League Two table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
52.3% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 26.29% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.41% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.17% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)42.83% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)79.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 52.29%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.41%
    Draw 26.29%
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Crewe

Grimsby Town
80.0%
Draw
6.7%
Crewe Alexandra
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
gameweek 30
Crewe
0-3
Grimsby Town
McAtee (3'), Lloyd (31'), Dickson-Peters (84')
Green (73')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
4-0
Crewe
Waterfall (13'), Green (34'), Smith (56'), Wearne (86')
Amos (3')

Mellor (65')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
gameweek 7
Grimsby Town
0-2
Crewe

Hanson (49')
Lowery (46'), Kirk (91')
Powell (62'), Kirk (92')
May 4, 2019 3pm
gameweek 46
Grimsby Town
2-0
Crewe
Davis (26'), Grayson (34')
Wright (62')

Sass-Davies (12'), Ng (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport442611791444789
4MK Dons442281474611374
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe441913126861770
6BarrowBarrow431814115849968
7Crawley TownCrawley44206186965466
8Walsall441811156665165
9Doncaster RoversDoncaster43197176363064
10Gillingham44189174353-1063
11AFC Wimbledon4416141457471062
12Harrogate TownHarrogate441711165562-762
13Bradford CityBradford431612155255-360
14Notts County44177208885358
15Morecambe44179186376-1357
16Newport CountyNewport44167216171-1055
17Tranmere RoversTranmere44166226364-154
18Accrington StanleyAccrington44159205766-954
19Swindon TownSwindon441411197478-453
20Salford City441211216380-1747
21Grimsby Town441016185572-1746
22Colchester UnitedColchester431111215774-1744
23Sutton UnitedSutton44913225378-2540
RForest Green RoversForest Green4499264177-3636


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