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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 52.3% ( | 26.29% ( | 21.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% ( | 58.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.83% ( | 79.17% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( | 22.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% ( | 56.14% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.17% ( | 42.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.86% ( | 79.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 14.38% ( 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 52.29% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-2 @ 3.85% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.04% Total : 21.41% |