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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Walsall

Crewe
2 - 0
Walsall

McDonald (2'), Long (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Walsall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 4-0 Crewe
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

Walsall

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 Carlisle
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawWalsall
30.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.01% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02)76.52% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (0.02300000000001 0.02)32.73% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (0.026 0.03)69.28% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)25.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (0.007000000000005 0.01)61.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 30.98%
    Walsall 42.01%
    Draw 27.01%
Crewe AlexandraDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.98%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 42.01%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Walsall
0-0
Crewe

Knowles (45+4'), Comley (89')

Offord (34'), Robertson (68'), Finnigan (90+4')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Walsall
1-2
Crewe
Lavery (15')
Kinsella (64'), Facey (79'), Lavery (88')
Powell (50'), Finney (68')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Crewe
1-0
Walsall
Nolan (61')
Lancashire (73'), Ng (78')
Lancashire (90')

Pring (92'), Scarr (94')
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Crewe
1-1
Walsall
Inman (49')
Bradshaw (32' pen.)
Sep 26, 2015 3pm
Walsall
1-1
Crewe
Bradshaw (3')
Sawyers (87')
Nugent (18')
Fox (69'), Nugent (74')
rhs 2.0


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